A year on and the GV Men’s league has a starkly different playoff picture.
With a final 8 system, and a regular season schedule that see’s Clubs play 10 of the 12 opposition Clubs, figuring out the playoff picture takes a lot more mental arithmetic than it has the last couple seasons; but Gridiron DownUnder has your back…
- The analysis has NOT been confirmed by GV. This is Gridiron DownUnder’s own interpretation of the GV tie-breaker policy for finals.
- The analysis and scenarios assume that if a game is forfeited at any stage by a competing team (even after the game has commenced), the forfeit is counted towards the GV tie-breaker policy. It is assumed that borrowing players from another team has not counted as a forfeit for the tie-breaker rules; for as much as any reason, getting our hands on that data proved difficult.
- With the exception of this week’s Royals v Cru match up, draws have not been considered for any matches.
- There may be some scenarios missing from the analysis below – but we’re pretty sure we’ve covered (almost) all of them, not withstanding ties.
- The teams that are unable to make the finals have not been included in the analysis
- The chart below has been split into two, for clarity sake. The top 4, with very few permutations and combination, and then 5-9, where all of the action is.
- A finishing position of 9th simply indicates that the team will not qualify for finals under the scenario; they may in fact fall lower on the table than 9th.
The interpretation of the GV tie-breaker used for the analysis policy can be reviewed below the analysis.
- The winner of the Royals vs. Cru match this week will finish top two, with the loser finishing second. The Royals have the tie-break in the event of a draw, with a higher margin of victory against the highest ranked non-tied team (HRNTT), the Warriors.
- Warriors have third place locked.
- Rangers would have to drop the Week 13 match vs. Sharks to lose 4th
- The only team in finals contention with a forfeit to their name is the Falcons. This is considered, but the data isn’t shown in the tables below. As such, they automatically are the lowest seed in any tie-breaker situation.
- Bucs and Dragons have secured finals spots, but both will likely be trying to avoid 7th spot and a week one match up against the Cru or Royals, preferring to try their hand against the Warriors or Rangers.
- Predators & Raiders can finish as high as 5th, but have not yet secured finals. The Falcons best possible finish is Falcons 7th.
- There is a scenario where teams 5 – 8 could all end up on 10 points, and a 4-way tie-breaker scenario would be required. Teams included in scenario would be Geelong, Bendigo, Predators & Raiders. Ballarat could also end on 10 points, but with a forfeit, would be eliminated from the tie-breaker immediately, missing the playoffs.
- The asterisk’s in the following tables refer to:
- Five Team Tie-Break Scenario
- **HRNTT tie-break used